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I'm playing on DALLAS. The Stars regained their confidence with a much needed win last time out and I expect them to carry the positive momentum into this evening's game. They don't want to revert back to losing and they haven't forgotten the Isles upset them here last season. This is a tough venue for visiting teams. With Thursday's win, the Stars are now 10-5 here. Meanwhile, the Isles have dropped four of their last five on the road, the lone win coming at Detroit. I believe that the price is fair and I look for the Stars to continue their strong play on home ice. 

I'm playing on CAROLINA. The Wild have been hot but I expect the Canes to cool them off here. While the Wild are 7-12 on the road, the Canes are 9-5 at home. Carolina already won, when these teams met at Minnesota. Obviously, the Wild would like to avenge that loss. That's generally not much of a motivator for them though. In fact, they're just 16-30 (-17.3) the past 2+ seasons, when attempting to avenge an earlier home loss. In other words, if they can't beat teams at Minnesota, they typically can't beat them on the road, either. The Canes know they won't play here again for some time. Look for them to make the most of their time here, cooling off the Wild and earning an important two points. 

I'm playing on PHILADELPHIA. The Flyers already lost once to the Sens this season. They're not going to let it happen again. At the end of a long road trip, the Sens will be happy to be going home after this. Note that their recent games were played in Pacific and Mountain time and now they're playing an early game in the east. While the Sens won last time out, they're 1-6 off a win by two or more goals, 11-27 in that situation the past couple of seasons. Knowing they have three tough road games following this one, the Flyers know they need to take care of business. They'll do exactly that. 

I'm playing on EDMONTON. These teams have met twice so far this season. In both cases, the home team won. With the Kings just 2-11 on the road and getting outscored by a combined 54-26 margin, I expect home ice to again prove the difference this evening. Off a 5-2 loss to lowly Ottawa, their third defeat in four games, the Oilers are going to be very hungry. They're 6-2 after allowing four or more goals in their previous game and 7-2 when off a loss by two or more. Expect them to improve on those stats tonight. 

I'm playing on NEW JERSEY. Off three straight losses, the Devils are going to be extremely hungry. Schedule and venue in their favor, I expect them to stop the bleeding. Though they lost their last trip to Chicago, the Devils have had recent success against the Hawks here at New Jersey. In fact, they've scored 12 goals in winning their last two against the Hawks here. While the Devils have had the past couple of days off, the Hawks check in off an upset win at Boston, last night. Thats noteworthy as they're 13-23 (-8.3) when playing the second of b2b games, the past 2+ seasons. 

I'm playing on DALLAS. This is the second game of a home-and-home series. After dropping the game at Winnipeg, I expect the Stars to bounce back and return the favor this evening. Off four straight losses and playing with immedite revenge, the Stars are going to be extremely hungry. They're still a healthy 9-5 here at Dallas. Remember, prior to the skid, they'd won seven straight including a 5-3 home win against these same Jets. Including that result, the home team is already 3-0 in the season series. Over the years, the Stars a profitable 76-55 (+17.8) when off three or more consecutive losses. During that skid, they're an even more lucrative 232-149 (+53) after scoring one goal or less in their previous game. Expect home ice to again prove the difference. 

I'm playing on COLUMBUS. Off b2b losses and with a road trip on deck, the Jackets are going to be a desperate team tonight. They know they need this one and I expect their very best effort. The Rangers came back down to earth with a 4-1 loss last time out. Thats noteworthy as they're a terrible 20-42 (-20.4) when off a loss by two or more goals, the past couple of seasons. During the same stretch, the Jackets were a far better 35-22 (+9) when off a loss by two or more. The Jackets have taken three straight in the series and they continue that dominance this evening. 

I'm playing on MONTREAL. The Canadiens finally stopped the bleedind last time out. They're going to be highly motivated to make it two in a row. Schedule and venue in their favor, I expect them to do exactly that. While Montreal had last night off, the Avs are off a big win at Toronto last night. Thats noteworthy as they're just 10-16 (-5.1) the past couple of seasons, when playing the second of b2b games. The home team has won seven straight in the series. Expect that home ice dominance to continue here.

I'm playing on MONTREAL. While the Isles certainly come in as the hotter team, the Habs have both the venue and the schedule working for them. They're rested while the Isles are off a win against the Wings yesterday. The Isles may have an impressive record but this is a team that Canadiens know that they can beat. They're 4-1 the past five meetings including a 4-0 win the last time that the teams played here. Needless to say, they're going to be extremely motivated to snap their losing streak. The Canadiens have been here before, Price remembering a seven game winless skid in 2017: "Yeah, it does bring back memories. But I think some of the guys that were in this room back then learned from that and know that nobody's going to feel sorry for us or hand us anything. So we need to go back out there and earn it." Look for them to do exactly that tonight, outworking their guests en route to a badly needed victory. 

I'm playing on ANAHEIM. The Ducks had a terrible November and they're going to be highly motivated to start December on a different note. They know their next game is against the Capitals, followed by two on the road. That makes taking care of business tonight absolutely necessary. With a 2-10 road record, the Kings are the perfect guests. They've been outscored 50-24 when playing away from their own rink. The Ducks are well-rested and they don't play for a few days after this. Their full attention is on winning this game. Expect them to dig deep and get it done. 

I'm playing on NEW YORK. Tough spot for the Jackets. They're off a big win against Pittsburgh last night and now must travel to face a rested and motivated Islander team. Off three straight losses and knowing their next two are on the road, the Isles are going to be very hungry. They know they need to stop the bleeding. Recent slide notwithstanding, the Isles are having a great season. They're 10-3 at home, compared to the Jackets' 3-7 mark on the road. Since a 3-2 loss against these same Islanders about six weeks ago, the Jackets are 0-2 when playing the second of b2b games. Isles take advantage, again. 

I'm playing on MONTREAL. Enough is enough. The Habs have been in a horrific slide but they've got both the schedule and the venue working in their favor here. While Montreal had yesterday off, the Flyers are off an afternoon win against the Wings. Sure, that was an easy victory but they still had to play and travel and are still playing their second game in two days. The fact that the Flyers won big may also make them a little complacent here. Last time they played the second of b2b games, the Flyers lost against the Isles. While they lost their last several visits to Philadelphia, the Canadiens won 5-1 the last time they hosted the Flyers. Expect them to play with some desperation here, en route to a much needed victory. 

I'm playing on NJ. Rangers are off a hard fought loss at Boston yesterday afternoon while the Devils had the day off. While the Rangers would surely love to avenge an earlier loss, they're an awful 38-70 (-24.7) in the revenge role, in recent seasons. So, its not exactly a motivator for them. Schedule and venue in their favor, the Devils take care of business here. 

I'm playing on VEGAS. The Knights are going to be extremely hungry in this one. They got back on track last time out with an exciting comeback win at Nashville, which snapped a 3-game skid. They're going to be anxious to avoid following it up with a loss. Additional motivation comes from the fact that the Coyotes have beaten them in three straight meetings, including one earlier this season. The win over the Preds was the type of victory that a team can really build positive momentum from. Expect Vegas to do just that, exacting some revenge against the pesky Coyotes while they're at it. 

I'm playing on MONTREAL. Losers of five straight and off an embarrassing loss against Boston, the Canadiens are going to be a desperate team. Note that the first of those five losses came against these same Devils. Indeed, this will be a highly motivated Montreal team. The Devils, 21-37 in road games with an O/U line of six or more the past 2+ seasons, are not a strong team. They've been outscored by a 35-18 margin on the road, this season. The Habs are 48-38 against sub-500 teams, the past 2+ seasons. Expect them to play with a sense of urgency from the opening whistle, as they improve on those stats, this evening.

I'm playing on COLORADO. The Oilers won 6-2 when these teams met at Edmonton a couple of weeks ago. Playing on home ice, I expect the Avs to return the favor. Note that the last meeting here resulted in a 6-2 win for Colorado. The Avs are going to be extremely motivated for this one and not just because of the revenge factor. They just had won three of five on a road trip before playing two of home. They already dropped the first of those games (5-3 against Toronto) and absolutely don't want to squander the solid work they did on the road by going 0-2 at home. Note that they're already 5-2 after allowing four or more goals. Payback time. 

I'm playing on COLUMBUS. These teams will meet again at Ottawa in a couple of weeks. Armed with that knowledge, the Jackets know that they better take care of business here. Thats because both of these teams are much better on home ice; both have struggled on the road. The Sens are 7-4 at Ottawa but just 4-7 on the road. The Jackets have taken four straight meetings in the series overall. They outscored the Sens by a 17-6 margin in those four games. Expect them to continue that dominance on Monday. 

I'm playing on NASHVILLE. Its payback time in Nashville. The Canucks recently beat the Predators, at Vancouver. However, that was their only win in the last eight games. They'll be hungry to get another win tonight. Not as hungry as the Preds though. Not only are they playing with recent revenge and in front of their home fans, but they're desperate to snap a 5-game skid. They're 47-33 in the revenge role the past couple of seasons. Going back further shows this has been a profitable role for them over the years. The Preds won the last two meetings with the Canucks here. They were laying -235 and -250. By comparison, tonight's price is a bargain. 

I'm playing on MONTREAL. Playing at home and off a loss last night, with Ottawa off a rare road win last night, I expect Montreal to be the more motivated team tonight. The Canadiens are 48-36 (+7) against losing teams the past couple of seasons. During the same span, the Sens are 33-59 (-11.2) against winning teams. The Habs have won four of five, including three straight in the series. With the Sens just 10-27 their last 37, when playing the second of b2b games, expect another win for Montreal. 

I'm playing on NASHVILLE. While I respect the Jets, I believe that they're in the wrong place, at the wrong time. The Preds are too talented to continue to lose. They also tend to elevate their game against top tier competition as they're 29-11 (+17.4) in 40 games against winning teams, in the first half of the season, the past two years. Playing on home ice, desperate for a victory, I expect them to elevate their level of play and look for them to stop the bleeding. 

I'm playing on DETROIT. In a battle of bad teams, I expect home ice to prove the difference. I actually said the same thing, essentially, when these teams met at Ottawa less than a month ago, as I successfully backed the Sens in that one. Here's an excerpt from that writeup: "The Senators could badly use a victory. Here, they've got a team which they can match up well against along with the venue and schedule in their favor. While the Sens come in rested, the Wings hosted Vancouver last night. The Wings lost 2-1 less than a week ago, when playing the second of b2b games ... Opportunities like this one don't come around that often for the Sens. Look for them to make the most of it." Tonight, however, the Wings are rested, at home and playing with revenge. They beat the Sens the last meeting here at Detroit and I expect them to finish on top once again.  

I'm playing on NASHVILLE. The Hawks are in the wrong place, at the wrong time. Having lost three straight, the Preds are going to be an angry. This is one of the top teams in the league; they're 5-3 the past couple of seasons, off three straight losses. It doesn't happen often. In additon to being highly motivated, the Preds are well rested. They've beaten Chicago in all three 2019 meetings, including a 3-0 win here earlier this season. The Hawks are off b2b big wins; the second of those coming at Vegas. Thats a recipe for a letdown. Preds roll. 

I'm playing on BUFFALO. The Sens managed to knock off the Flyers last night. However, now they're playing their second game in two nights against a rested and determined Buffalo team. Losers of five straight, the Sabres simply cannot afford to let this opportunity pass them by. They played very well last time out but ran into an equally determined and talented Carolina team. Here, however, the Sabres will have a clear edge in talent. The Sens are 10-26 (-9.5) the past 2+ seasons, when playing the second of b2b games. They lost 4-1 the only time they were in that situation this season. The teams have split the past four meetings, the home team winning all four. The Sabres won the two games here at Buffalo by a combined score of 14-4. Schedule in their favor, they'll take care of business again today. 

I'm playing on EDMONTON. The Oilers just got six points out of McDavid last game. When he's in the zone, he's the best in the world. They're catching the Stars at the end of an already successful road trip. The Oilers, who have now won three of four, embark on a road trip of their own after this. They're going to be anxious to get the maximum points here before they go. Even off a couple of wins, the Stars are still below .500 on the road while the Oilers are 7-3 at home. Given the venue and situation, I believe the price is a bargain. 

I'm playing on PHILADELPHIA. I believe there's a serious talent difference between these teams. While the Sens are capable of winning here and there, they're far from consistent. Off a 4-2 win against the Devils last time out, note that they're an ugly 0-5 already this season, when off a win by two or more goals. Going back further finds Ottawa at a money-burning 19-44 (-18.1) after scoring four or more goals in its previous game. The Flyers were -275 last time they hosted the Sens and they'd be really expensive if this game was at Philadelphia. However, with it being played at Ottawa, we're able to get the superior team at a far more reasonable price. The Flyers won their last two visits here by scores of 7-4 and 5-3. Expect them to finish on top once again. 

I'm playing on LA. While the Wings come in on a roll, I expect home ice to prove the difference tonight. The Wings are 3-7 on the road, outscored by a whopping 41-22 margin. That includes a 1-7 mark when playing a road game with an O/U line of six or greater. By comparison, the Kings 4-4 home record looks pretty good. The Kings have taken each of the last two meetings here at LA (and three of four against the Wings overall) and they were laying -200 and -235 for those games. Needless to say, we're getting them at a far more reasonable price here. Expect the Kings to take this one, moving to 77-60 over the years, when playing a home game with an O/U line of six or greater. 

I'm playing on VANCOUVER. The Canucks got back on track with a much needed win in their last game, defeating a very good Nashville team. Tonight, they'll take on a hot Dallas team. With the schedule in their favor, I expect the Canucks to cool off the Stars. While Vancouver had yesterday off, Dallas checks in off a 3-1 win at Calgary. Note that even with last night's win, the Stars are still just 4-6 away from Dallas. The Canucks, meanwhile, are 5-3 here at Vancouver. The Canucks have taken four of the last five meetings. They've outscored teams by a 35-20 margin here. Expect them to take care of business once again. 

I'm playing on MINNESOTA. Great start for the Coyotes. Not so much for the Wild. Those results have helped give us the Wild for a much better price than we'd normally have. Consider that the Wild were -210 the last time the teams met here. In fact, they were even -140 for the last meeting at Phoenix. Granted, these Coyotes are indeed improved. Off b2b road wins over the past two defending champs, however, I feel that they're going to be in letdown mode tonight. Part of the reason for Minnesota's slow start is that they've played a lot more games on the road. They're 3-10 in away games but 3-2 (3-1-1) here at Minnesota. Back home and hungry for a victory, I say the Wild get it done. 

I'm playing on VEGAS. While the price may seem steep, I see this one going only one way. Indeed, the Blackhawks are in the wrong place, at the wrong time. The Knights are 9-4 in their franchise history, when off three straight losses. The Knights have absolutely owned the Hawks, too. In fact, they're a perfect 7-0 in seven meetings. Before a 2-1 win earlier this season, Vegas had scored four or more goals in each of the previous six meetings. While the Hawks would obviously love to avenge the earlier loss, they're an ugly 40-65 (-20.4) in the revenge role the past couple of seasons. Vegas rolls. 

I'm playing on SJ. Both teams have played well of late. The Oilers have won b2b games while the Sharks have won three straight. Playing at home and knowing they are looking up at the Oilers in the standings, I expect the Sharks to be the team which extends its winning streak. The Sharks are 49-31 in division games the past 2+ seasons. That includes four straight wins against these Oilers. While the Oilers are off a 6-2 win, they're just 16-22 (-8.9) the past couple of seasons, off a win by two or more goals. During that span, they're also an ugly 20-39 (-20.6) when off a divisional game overall. I say the Sharks continue their dominance in the series, for at least one more game. 

I'm playing on CAROLINA. These teams will face each other again, at Ottawa, on Monday. While the Sens will be anxious to hold serve at home, I don't see it happening. The Canes are favored by this much on the road because they're the far superior team. When motivated, they win this matchup the large majority of the time. Note that the Canes will indeed be motivated as they've dropped three straight and are going to be desperate to stop the bleeding. The last (only) time that they lost three straight this season, they responded with a 4-0 win, which triggered a 3-game winning streak. The Canes have won their last three visits here, scoring 14 goals in the process. Expect them to finish on top, once again. 

I'm playing on EDMONTON. The Oilers had Thursday off while the Devils played at Calgary. This will mark the Devils' third road game in the past four days, the fourth leg of their 5-game road trip. They already lost to these same Oilers, when playing the second of b2b games on 10/10. After dropping the game against the Blues on Wednesday, their second straight loss, the Oilers are going to be in an angry mood. They've had two previous 2-game losing streaks so far this season and in each case, they've snapped the skid right there, winning 4-3 and 4-1. Schedule and venue in their favor, expect them to bounce back once again. 

I'm playing on WINNIPEG. The Canucks are an improved team this year. That said, the Jets have had their number for years and this is a tough spot for the Canucks. While they played at Chicago Thursday, the Jets had Thursday off. The Canucks will now be playing in their third different city in the past four days. The Jets are 12-1 the last 13 meetings 8-0 the last eight. The Jets were laying -265, -212 and -189 the last three meetings here. (They won those by a combined score of 10-2!) Needless to say, the price is far more reasonable here. The Canucks may finally get a win against the Jets this season - but its not happening here tonight. Jets roll. 

I'm playing on CALGARY. The Devils are off b2b road wins. However, they're unlikely to make it three straight. The Flames are heating up themselves and they've owned the Devils in recent seasons. Last time these teams met, Calgary scored nine goals. Including that 9-4 victory, the Flames are 5-0 the last five meetings. While both teams had yesterday off, the Flames also have tomorrow off, while the Devils will be at Edmonton. In other words, their full attention will be on taking care of business tonight. I expect them to do exactly that.

I'm playing on EDMONTON. The Blues are hot and they handled the Oilers last season. However, Edmonton is improved and is determined to prove it to the champs. In addition to having the venue in their favor, the Oilers also have the schedule working for them. While the Blues are off a win at Vancouver last night, the Oilers come in rested. This is a big game for Edmonton. Oiler veteran Oscar Klefbom had this to say: "We're off to a good start, everybody is feeling good, but these are the games, against some top contenders, that are really important for us. It will give us a lot of confidence to know that we can play some hockey with those really good teams. Against the good teams we've been playing some solid hockey. We stayed with Washington and came out with two points. This is going to be another big test for us and I'm really excited to play." I expect McDavid, Klefbom and co to be at their best as the Oilers dig deep and find a way to pick up the two points. 

I'm playing on NY. The Wings are a bad team right now. They've only had one win in recent weeks and they've been outscored 17-4 in losing their last three. The Wings are now 17-43 their last 60 when off a loss by two or more goals. Off an embarrassing loss against lowly Ottawa and with much tougher games coming up on the schedule, the Rangers know that they can't afford to squander this opportunity. The loss against Ottawa notwithstanding, this has been the Rangers' time of year. They're now 19-9 in November the past 2+ seasons. Look for home ice to prove the difference in this "Original 6" contest. 

I'm playing on SJ. Off five straight losses, the Sharks are going to be absolutely desperate for a victory. The Hawks, a team which the Sharks have beaten five of the last six times they've met, should be the perfect opponent to help them get it. The Hawks would surely love to avenge an earlier loss at Chicago. However, if they couldn't beat the Sharks there, they're unlikely to be able to do so here. Indeed, while the Sharks have struggled at home, the Hawks have been even worse on the road. They've been outscored 17-9 away from Chicago in going 1-4. They're also an ugly 13-33 the past 46 times they played with revenge from a home loss. Sharks roll. 

I'm playing on CALGARY. The Coyotes won at Edmonton last night. However, its not easy to win two games in Alberta, in two nights. Note that the Coyotes are just 23-42 the past 65 times that they played the second of b2b games, 8-16 (-4.2) the past 2+ seasons. Off a 4-2 loss at Washington to close their trip, the Flames will be in a foul mood. They're 35-25 (+6.4) the past 60 times that they'd allowed four or more goals in their previous game. The Flames won 5-2 and 7-1 the last two times that they hosted the Coyotes. Schedule in their favor, expect them to take care of business once again. 

I'm playing on WINNIPEG. Given how much the Jets have dominated the Devils and how poorly the Devils have played away from NJ, I feel that this line could easily be higher. Including a win at NJ last month, the Jets are a perfect 7-0 the last seven in the series. Given the fact that the Jets are also 53-28 the past couple season, against sub-500 teams, I expect them to take care of business again this evening. The Devils have been outscored 17-7 on the road. Look for the Jets to move to 21-11 their last 32, when playing with two day's rest, continuing their dominance of the Devils along the way. 

I'm playing on NASHVILLE. The Wings are not a good team. Through 15 games, they have a -24 goal differential. Thats the worst in the leauge by a long way. Tonight, they'll face one of the top teams in the league. If the game was at Nashville, the price would be a lot higher, as it was when these teams played there a month ago. The Preds were laying -255 for that one but lost. Needless to say, they haven't forgotten. They're also coming off b2b losses. The previous time that happened this season, they responded with a 6-1 win. Expect them to bounce back big. 

I'm playing on NY. The Rangers are taking a major step down in class as the Senators are not a good team. The Rangers' recent games have come against the likes of Boston, Tampa and Nasvhille. Those are three of the top teams in the league and the Rangers won the last two of those. In fact, their last seven opponents have a 61-23 record, all of them above .500. Now, they'll take on the 3-8 Senators, a team they already beat 4-1. I expect the Rangers, 19-8 (+13.5) in November the past 2+ seasons, to take advantage. While the Sens would surely like to avenge the earlier loss, they're terrible (38-72 L2 years) in the revenge role. They're also a dismal 20-48 (-19) the last 2+ seasons, off a loss by two or more goals. All things considered, this line could easily be higher. 

I'm playing on ANAHEIM. The Ducks are playing very well on home ice. With Friday's win, they're 6-1 (+4.6) here. On the other hand, the Hawks fell to 0-4 on the road, last night. While the Ducks had last night off, the Hawks were involved in a hard-fought battle, at LA. They tied the game late, to salvage a point, but gave up a goal in the closing seconds of OT to lose the game. Note that they're 10-22 the past couple of seasons, when playing the second of b2b games. During that span, the Hawks are also an ugly 11-32 (-22.3) when facing a team with a winning record, in the first half of the season. Indeed, this Chicago team is a far cry from the teams that won the Cup in recent years. Schedule and venue in their favor, expect the Ducks to take care of business this evening. 

I'm playing on SAN JOSE. Last night's game at Anaheim worked out just about perfectly. Not only did the Canucks losing (allowing us to cash with Anaheim) but they did so in OT. So, the Canucks worked extra hard and were somewhat satisfied with the result. Vancouver coach Travis Green commented post-game: "...pretty good game, pretty good road game, good to get a point..." In other words, they're physically tired and they're not going to be desperate. Its also worth noting that the Canucks saw Quinn go down with injury last night. While it appears it won't be as serious as initially feared, its hard to imagine him playing tonight. Unlike the Canucks, the Sharks played well but weren't rewarded with a point last night. SJ coach DeBoer had this to say: "That's the team I've become familiar with. That's the style of play. It was nice to see, we haven't seen it in a while. It would have been nice to get rewarded for it, but if we play with that type of game, the wins will come." DeBoer went on to say: "We want to get right back at it," DeBoer said. "We played a good game. We'll look at it tomorrow morning, have a quick meeting. We don't want to change anything. We want to play that same type of game tomorrow night." Expect the Sharks to be the more desperate team here, en route to an important two points. 

I'm playing on ANAHEIM. While the Canucks have been on a nice roll, this is always a difficult venue for them. The Ducks are 4-0 the last four times that they hosted Vancouver. The Canucks were held scoreless in two of their last three trips here. While the Canucks are a solid 4-3 on the road, the Ducks are already 5-1 when listed as the home team. While the Canucks, 22-36 (-9.4) their last 58 after scoring four or more goals, play again tomorrow, the Ducks have tomorrow off. Look for them to continue their strong home play for another night. 

I'm playing on VEGAS. Off back-to-back wins, playing their second game in two days and down in Vegas for Halloween, the Canadiens could be a little complacent here. Either way, I expect them to struggle. The Habs are already 0-2 when playing the second of b2b games, losing vs. Detroit and at Minnesota. Going back further finds them at a money-burning 9-21 (-13.2) their last 30 in that situation. Schedule and venue in their favor, look for the well-rested Knights to improve to 13-7 the past 20 times that they played with three or more day's rest in between games. 

I'm playing on LA. I played on the Canucks when these teams met earlier. It was a great spot for the Canucks. They were well-rested, hungry off a couple of losses and playing their home opener. The Kings, on the other hand, were playng their second game in two days, after winning at Calgary the previous night. The Canucks took advantage of the situation and won 8-2. Things are different now though. The Kings are rested and playing at home. Off three straight losses, they're going to be hungry, too. The Kings already lost three straight once this season and they responded with one of their best games, a 4-1 win against Calgary, to snap the skid. The Canucks are just 21-34 their past 55, after scoring four or more goals in their previous game. While I've played against them recently, I say the revenge-minded Kings bounce back with a win tonight. 

I'm playing on TORONTO. While I respect the Capitals, I believe that this is a good spot for the Leafs. Washington is at the end of a fairly long road trip. The trip started on 10/20, at Chicago and took the Caps all through the West Coast of Canada. Having already achieved a sucessful trip, I feel it'll be easy for them to get caught looking ahead to the return home. Toronto, on the other hand, will be motivated to bounce back from a loss and to avenge an earlier loss to these same Caps. The well-rested Leafs are a profitable 51-31 (+8.1) in the revenge role the past couple of seasons. Expect them to improve on those stats Tuesday. 

I'm playing on CHICAGO. I played against the Kings last night and they lost 5-1, at Minnesota. Facing what will be a hungry Chicago team, I'm going right back against them tonight. While the Hawks also lost yesterday, I like the fact that their game started seven hours earlier than the Kings' game. I also like that the Hawks are here in their own building, facing a team they match up well against. Knowing that that they hit the road after this - and that the second game of their trip will be at LA against these Kings - the Hawks are going to be desperate for a win tonight. With the Kings having been outscored by a combined 13-4 score, in two previous b2b instances, look for the Hawks' desperation to translate to a victory.

I'm playing on MINNESOTA. These teams met here almost exactly one year ago to the day. The Wild, laying -165, won that 10/25/18 game by a score of 4-1. Since then, the teams have met two more times. The Wild won both those games, too. I like them to take care of business again this evening. While they lost at Nashville last time out, the Wild have won their last two home games. Last time here, they beat the red hot Oilers by a 3-0 score. Knowing that this is their final home game in October, they're going to be highly determined to pick up the two points. The Kings have given up 15 combined goals their last three road games. I feel that the price could easily be higher and I look for the Wild to make it four straight in the series.

I'm playing on TORONTO. The Leafs have both the venue and the schedule in their favor for this one. While the Leafs are rested, the Sharks are off a road win at Montreal last night. The Sharks lost 3-1 at Anaheim when playing the second of b2b games earlier this season. They're 13-16 (-5.1) in that situation the past couple of seasons. While the Sharks owned the Leafs for several years, the Leafs have now won three straight in the series. Toronto scored 10 goals, five in each game, in the last two. Expect a win for the home team. 

I'm playing on CALGARY. The Flames hit the road after this one. Off a loss last time out, they're going to be determined to pick up points before the trip. While I respect the Panthers, I also like this Flames lineup. Consider that that Flames were favored for both last season's meetings, laying -140 at Florida and -225 here at Calgary. Not that much has changed to bring the price down this much. Look for the "under-valued" Flames to bring their best game, bouncing back and improving to 34-24 (+6.7) the past couple of seasons, after allowing four or more goals in their previous game. 

I'm playing on DALLAS. The home team has dominated this series in recent seasons and I expect that to continue this evening. The Ducks check in with the better record. However, its Dallas which is currently the hotter team. After a shaky start, the Stars are off b2b wins. They've won those games by a convincing (combined) 6-2 margin. The Ducks have gone the other way. After a hot start, they've been outscored 8-2 their last two games. I played against them last game and they lost 6-1. Note that they're a poor 19-31 (-13.7) the last 50 times that they were off a game in which they scored one goal or less. While they've dropped six straight at Anaheim, the Stars are a perfect 6-0 their last six as a host in this series. Expect that home ice dominance to continue this evening. 

I'm playing on OTTAWA. The Senators could badly use a victory. Here, they've got a team which they can match up well against along with the venue and schedule in their favor. While the Sens come in rested, the Wings hosted Vancouver last night. The Wings lost 2-1 less than a week ago, when playing the second of b2b games. They're a dreadful 18-40 (-17.8) when facing divisional opponents. Opportunities like this one don't come around that often for the Sens. Look for them to make the most of it. 

I'm playing on NASHVILLE. The Ducks are in the wrong place, at the wrong time. The Ducks had been perfect at home before losing 2-1 in their last game. Note that they're just 19-30 (-12.7) the past couple of seasons, after scoring one goal or less in their previous game. Tonight, they're at one of the league's most difficult venues. The Predators come in well-rested and in a foul mood. The Preds tend to elevate their game against the league's better teams; over the past couple of seasons, they're a dominant 27-10 (+16.3) against teams which have a winning record in the first half of the season. The home team has won five straight in this series. Here at Nashville, the Preds are 4-0 their last four against the Ducks and 7-1 their last eight. They were laying -240 the last time that the teams met here. We're getting them at a better price than that tonight and I expect them to roll again. 

I'm playing on ST. LOUIS. Needless to say, the Avs are off to a fantastic start. However, I believe they'll finally suffer their first regulation loss here. They just won two games in two days, in the state of Florida. They've been on the road for a long time already and they've got some time in Vegas ahead of them. They'll also be facing the defending champs. The Blues are going to be extremely hungry to get back on track. They've beaten the Avs four straight times. Going back further finds the Blues at 13-3 the past 16 meetings. Expect a highly motivated effort to lead to them improving on those stats Monday. 

I'm playing on WINNIPEG. The Jets have failed to come through for me a couple of times. However, with the red hot Oilers coming to town, I expect them to elevate their game. The old Oiler teams used to be famous for "loving to party." While the current Oilers don't have the same reputation for going out on Saturday nights, its still interesting that Edmonton is just 6-14 (-9.4) its last 20 Sunday games. During the same span, Winnipeg is 20-8 (+10.1) when playing on Sunday. Not why I'm making the play but interesting all the same. The Jets have had success against Edmonton. They've beaten the Oilers each of the last two meetings and five of the past six. Speaking of "five of six," the Jets are 5-1 the past 2+ seasons, after having lost their previous three consecutive games. They're going to be hungry, to say the least. Expect them to bounce back and improve to 30-18 (+8.2) their last 48, when off a loss by two or more goals. 

I'm playing on PHILADELPHIA. Tough start for the Stars and I expect that to continue to be the case for at least another day. The home team won both meetings in this series last season. That was also the case the previous season. The Flyers won the two games here by identical 2-1 scores. Not only do the Flyers have the venue in their favor, they've also got the schedule working for them. The Stars fought hard against the Penguins yesterday, getting off to an early lead but ultimately losing, while the Flyers had the past couple of days off. The Stars' previous b2b situation this season resulted in a loss at Detroit. Over the past five games, all of them losses, the Stars have scored just seven combined goals. Thats not going to get it done. The Flyers are 0-3 on the road but 2-0 here at home. Off a disappointing trip out West, they're going to be angry. Home ice proves significant, again. 

I'm playing on NJ. The Canucks have been on a nice roll. Playing an early game in the Eastern Time Zone and in potential "letdown mode" off a win over the defending champs, I expect their winning streak to come to an end here. Even off the win over the Blues, the Canucks are still just 3-8 the past 2+ seasons, after winning their previous three or more games. During that span, they're also 20-34 (-9.4) after scoring four or more goals in their previous game. The Devils got the monkey off their back with their first win last time out. They handled the Canucks last season incl. a 4-0 win here. Expect them to take care of business once again. 

I'm playing on CHICAGO. The Hawks got on track in their last game, a 3-1 win (their first) against Edmonton. They're the only team to knock off the Oilers thus far. I expect them to carry the positive momentum into this evening's game. The Jackets have been outscored 9-5 in two road games this season. Unlike Chicago, Columbus plays tomorrow night. I say the Hawks take care of business. 

I'm playing on FLORIDA. The Avs finally got cooled off last game. Off their first loss and with a showdown against Tampa on deck tomorrow night, I expect them to stumble again this evening. The Panthers have played four of six on the road and their two home games came against the Lightnining and Hurricanes, two of this season's top teams so far. The Panthers did win their last game though and come in well-rested for this one. (They're 6-4 L10 times that they played with three or more day's rest in between games.) I believe that they're currently a bit under-valued. Look for the Panthers to improve to 36-24 the past 60 times that they played here at home when the O/U line was six or greater. 

I'm playing on WINNIPEG. The Jets were laying -170 the last time that they hosted the Isles. We're getting them for a far more reasonable price tonight and I believe that they're providing us with excellent value. The Isles have only played one road game and they lost 5-2. They were outshot by a 40-19 margin, too. Off b2b losses to begin this homestand, the Jets are going to be extremely hungry. Look for a highly motivated effort as they improve to 30-17 (+9.5) the past 2+ seasons, when off a loss of two or more goals.

I'm playing on NJ. Its been a tough start for the Devils and they're going to under a lot of pressure to get their first win. I believe a visit from the rival Rangers will be just what they need to get going though. At least for tonight. The Rangers have had an extended break and thats historically not been a good thing for them. Over the years, the Rangers are just 73-94 (-38.9) when playing with three or more day's rest. That includes a money-burning 5-10 (-2-8) record in that situation the past 2+ seasons. Note that NY, which lost 4-1 last time out, while also off an extended break, is also 17-38 (-20.6) during that span, when off a loss by two or more goals and 8-23 after scoring one goal or less its previous game. The Devils offense got going last time out as they scored four goals in a loss against the Panthers. They're 26-16 (+4.1) the past couple seasons, off a game where they scored four or more. Expect them to improve on those stats with a highly motivated effort this evening. 

I'm playing on WASHINGTON. In addition to having the venue in their favor, the Capitals also have the schedule working for them here. The Leafs beat Minnesota last night while the Caps were resting. Toronto hasn't been very good in b2b situations, going 13-15 (-5.6) the past couple of seasons. The Leafs are already 0-1 when playing the second of b2b games this season, too, falling against Montreal after beating Columbus the previous night. The Caps are going to come in hungry; they're 29-19 (+7.7) when off a loss by two or more goals, the past couple of seasons. Expect them to improve on those numbers here. 

I'm playing on WINNIPEG. The Jets were at least -200 each of the past few times that they hosted the Coyotes. We're getting them at a considerably more reasonable price here and I feel thats offering excellent value. Indeed, the Coyotes are in the wrong place, at the wrong time. Off a 7-2 loss against Pittsburgh on Sunday, the Jets are going to be in an angry mood for this one. They're 29-16 the past 45 times that they were off a loss by two or more goals, 2-0 already this season. The Jets were 31-12 against sub-500 teams in the first half of the season the past couple of years, 52-26 against losing teams overall. During that span, the Coyotes were 34-52 against winning teams. With Arizona also just 9-21 (-11.5) the past 30 times that they played with two day's rest in between games, look for the Jets to take care of business. 

I'm playing on CHICAGO. The Oilers are off to a terrific 5-0 start. They've been falling behind in each game and then coming back. Facing a desperate Chicago team, one determined to notch its first victory, I expect the Oilers' magic to run out. While Edmonton is certainly a better team than it showed last season, the issues aren't entirely fixed. The Hawks have won six of the last nine meetings with the Oilers, here at Chicago. Toews has more than 80 points last season for the Hawks but is pointless thus far. Expect that to change this evening, as the former Conn Smythe winner leads his team by example this evening. Hawks win. 

I'm playing on BOSTON. Both teams are off to great starts but I expect home ice and the early start time to favor the Bruins in this one. While the Ducks had a run off success in this series for three or four years, that came to an end last season. The Bruins won last season's two games by a combined score of 6-1. Look for the Bruins to remain perfect at home. 

I'm playing on TORONTO. The Leafs have struggled out of the gate. However, this is still an elite team, in terms of talent - one which will have plenty of its own fans in the building for this one. Over the past couple of seasons, the Leafs are 8-2 (+5.4) when off three or more consec. losses. During that span, the Wings were a terrible 18-39 (-16.8) in divisional games. The Leafs have been laying more than -300 for recent home games against Detroit but we're able to get them for a reasonable price due to the game being played at Detroit. Expect them to bounce back with their best effort, en route to earning an important two points. 

I'm playing on COLUMBUS. I successfully played against the Ducks last night. Off their first loss of the season and now playing the second of b2b games, I'm going against them again tonight. The Jackets got on track in their last game, a hard-fought 4-3 win over Buffalo. They've had the past three days off. Knowing they play a tough road game tomorrow, they know they need to take care of business tonight. Note that the Jackets have long been profitable when playing with three or more day's rest, including an 8-6 (+2.3) mark in that situation the past couple of seasons. During the same span, the Ducks were 10-13 when playing the second of b2b games and just 18-30 (-13.9) after scoring one goal or less in their previous game. I'm backing the well-rested home team.

I'm playing on NASHVILLE. The Predators have had their way with the Capitals in recent meetings and I expect that to be the case again this evening. This is the final game of a 4-game homestand for the Preds. They're 18-8 the past couple of seasons after playing their previous three at home and they're going to be anxious for another victory before the road trip. The Caps have lost b2b games and they play a revenge-game against Dallas, a team which just beat them, next. Expect home ice to prove significant. 

I'm playing on PITTSBURGH. The Ducks are on a roll but I expect the Penguins to bring them back down to earth this evening. While the Pens don't have Malkin, they still have plenty of other weapons. Off a 4-1 loss last time out, the Pens are going to be all business here. Note that they're 45-29 the past couple of seasons after allowing four or more goals and 28-17 after a loss by two or more goals. During the same span, the Ducks are just 7-10 (-4.4) after winning their previous three games. The Pens were laying -175 the last time that they hosted the Ducks. We're getting them at a far better price here and I believe thats providing excellent value.

I'm playing on MONTREAL. This is the Canadiens' home opener and they're going to be fired up. Sure, they lost last night, putting them in a b2b situation. However, they had the previous three days off, so its not that bad a spot. The Wings lost 3-1 against Anaheim on Tuesday. They're an ugly 16-35 (-10.5) off a loss by two or more goals, the past couple of seasons. While the Habs have been respectable against divisional opponents, the Wings are just 17-39 (-18.5) in division games the past couple of seasons. The Habs were laying -375 the last time that the teams met here, Montreal winning 3-1. That continued an extended run of dominance in the series. More of the same tonight. 

I'm playing on VANCOUVER. I've successfully played against the Canucks in each of their first two games. Those were both on the road, each against determined and fairly talented Alberta-based teams. The Canucks are playing their home opener here though and they match up far better against the Kings. Note that the Canucks won the previous two 2019 meetings, one in February and another in March. They're going to be extremely determined and I expect their very best effort. While the Canucks come in rested, the Kings are off a game at Calgary last night. Schedule and venue in their favor, the Canucks earn their first "W." 

I'm playing on FLORIDA. The Canes are off to a nice 3-0 start and they came through for us in their opening win against Montreal. They're 9-13 (-6.5) the past 22 times that they were on a 3-game unbeaten streak though and I expect the Panthers to bring them back down to earth this evening. The Panthers have quietly assembled a lot of offensive weapons and they beat Tampa in their lone home game. They're now 35-23 the past 2+ seasons, when playing a home game with an O/U line of six or greater. Knowing their next three are at home, they're going to be hungry to pick up the two points here. Expect them to do just that. 

I'm playing on COLUMBUS. The Sabres have higher than normal expectations this season and are off to a 2-0 start. The Jackets, meanwhile, are being projected to finish last in their division. The Sabres are 2-0 while the Jackets are 0-2. Yet, I'm backing Columbus. Here's why. Home ice can't be ignored. We're getting what will be a desperate Columbus team at a pick'em price. Last time these teams met, the Jackets were laying -220, at Buffalo. In fact, in all six meetings since the start of 2017, the Jackets were favored. Lines ranged from -160 to -270. Yes, some things have changed. But not enough to make the line swing that much. The Sabres are 16-33 (-13.5) the past couple of seasons, after scoring four or more goals. During that span, they were also 8-22 (-12.6) when off a win by two or more goals. On the other hand, the Jackets were 34-17 (+13.6) when off a loss by two or more. Bottom line is that I expect the home team to be a little hungrier and for that to lead to victory. 

I'm playing on DALLAS. Both teams played last night. The Wings won at Nashville, upsetting the Predators. The Stars lost at St. Louis. I feel that situation favors the Stars here. Not only have the Stars been better than the Wings in b2b situations in recent seasons but the fact that they lost (again) should have them extra determined in this one. The Wings, meanwhile, could be caught patting themselves on the back a bit, off their somewhat unlikely win at a tough venue. With the Wings just 9-16 the past 25 times that they played the second of b2b games, expect the highly motivated visitors to come away with the "W."

I'm playing on CALGARY. The Canucks won their first game of the season each of the past four seasons. In each case, the Vancouver fans got all excited. In each case, the team ultimately faded and missed the playoffs. This year, however, the Canucks stumbled out of the gate. (I read an article in a Vancouver paper claim that was a good thing.) Now, they face perhaps an even tougher opponent, one who will be extremely hungry to avoid an 0-2 start. The Flames are a deeper, stronger team. They're 50-35 their last 85 against losing teams. (Canucks may be only 0-1 but they've been a losing team for years.) Anxious to rid the bad taste in their mouth from last year, look for them to take care of business tonight. 

I'm playing on COLORADO. Three of four home teams won last night. I expect home ice to also prove significant in this one. We're getting a very fair price on the Avs here, in part because many will be looking to back the revenge-minded Flames. Recall that Colorado upset the Flames in the playoffs last season. Yes, the Flames want payback. But the Avs are every bit as determined to get the season started on the right foot and to prove that last season wasn't a fluke. The Avs have some decent new pieces to complement their core top guys. I like this team and I expect them to start the year with a "W."

I'm playing on NASHVILLE. Three of four home teams won last night. I expect home ice to also prove significant in this one. The Predators were one of the top teams in the preason, finishing with a 5-1 record. They closed the exhibition campaign off three straight wins and I expect them to carry the positive momentum into tonight's game. The Preds swept the Wild last season and have won five straight in the series. Nashville should be a top team again this season. I'm not sure the same can be said of Minnesota. Preds roll. 

I'm playing on CAROLINA. Three of four home teams won last night. I expect home ice to also prove significant in this one. The Canes have had their way with the Habs in recent seasons. They've won six of the past seven meetings. The Canes are arguably stronger now, too. They returned to the playoffs, after a 9-year drought, last season. This season, they're expected to be one of the top teams in the Metro. division. While that remains to be seen, I do expect them to get their season off to a winning start tonight. 

I'm playing on EDMONTON. Obviously, both teams want to start strong. The Oilers arguably need this one more though. They were a big disappointment last year and can't afford to start under-achieving out of the gate. The Canucks are a team which they match up well against and I expect them to take advantage of the favorable matchup. Note that Edmonton one both previous 2019 (reg season) meetings and that the Oilers were laying -190 for the game here at Edmonton. Tonight's price is significantly lower, providing us with excellent value. The Canucks were 2-0 against the Oilers in preseason and they hammered them here at Edmonton by a score of 6-1. We'll see a different Oiler team tonight though and they'll settle the score. 

I'm playing on ST. LOUIS. Did the Bruins get robbed on a bad call last game? Probably so. However, thats not going to help them here. They need to get over it but thats all anyone has talked about. They've certainly already got their excuse ready to go, when the Blues close things out tonight. The city of St. Louis has supported the Blues through good times and bad over the years. They love this team. They're starving for a winner. The Bruins have been mediocre on the road all season.  The building is going to be electric and the fans are going to provide some extra energy for the Blues. Binnington has absolutely regained his swagger and comes in full of confidence. The Cup will be in the building and I say the season ends tonight. 

I'm playing on ST. LOUIS. At roughly a pick'em price, I feel that the Blues are offering excellent value in Game 3. If they'd won Game 2, the Bruins had a chance to practically put this series to bed. It didn't happen though, the Blues pulling out the OT win. Now back home and having achieved the road split, I expect too see the Blues' best. The Bruins are 2-3 when tied in a playoff series. The Blues are 4-2 when tied. The Bruins are 26-23 on the road, the Blues are 29-22 at home. The Blues are 11-5 their last 16 as a host in this series and they beat the Bruins here in the regular season each of the past two seasons. The Blues were dominant (5-1 win over SJ) their last game here. Expect home ice to prove significant. 

I'm playing on SAN JOSE. The Blues scored in the opening minute of Game 3, en route to a 2-1 victory. Back on home ice, the series now tied 2-2, I fully expect the Sharks to respond with a victory. Not only are the Sharks 5-1 when tied in these playoffs, they're also 8-1 the last nine times that they scored one goal or less in their previous game. They've been battle-tested in these playoffs, with both Vegas and Colorado taking them to a seventh game. I believe that's going to serve them well in this pivotal game. The Blues are 27-22 on the road, 13-13 when playing a road game with an O/U line of 5.5. On the other hand, the Sharks are 32-19 at home, 9-2 when playing a home game with an O/U line of 5.5. The Sharks have taken three of four meetings here at SJ this season. Look for them to seize control of the series. 

I'm playing on CAROLINA. At a pick'em price, I believe that a desperate Hurricane team is offering us excellent value. The Canes return to Raleigh after dropping both at Boston and know that they can ill afford to go down 3-0. Keep in mind that the Bruins are only 24-23 on the road compared to the Canes' 29-17 mark here at home. That includes a 9-1 mark their last 10 here, a perfect 7-0 their past seven. These teams last met here on 12/23. Carolina won 5-3. The Canes are 10-1 (+8.2) when playing at home with an O/U line of 5.5. Expect them to improve on those stats here. 

I'm playing on SAN JOSE. I've felt that the Sharks have been offering excellent value throughout these playoffs and I believe thats the case again here. They've won both their opening games, I backed them in each. In fact, I'm 7-0 playing on the Sharks in these playoffs. I've played on them in their wins and avoided them in their losses. These teams met three times in the reg. season. The Blues won the lone meeting at St. Louis. The two other meetings were here, the Sharks won both. They were laying -190 and -140 for those games. Needless to say, we're getting a far better price here. In fact, they were even laying -120 for the game at St. Louis. True, the Sharks are off another 7-game series. They've had the past two days off though and Game 7 was here at San Jose. I expect them to be fully ready to go. While the Blues are 26-21 on the road, the Sharks are 31-18 at home. Expect The Shark Tank to be rocking and the home team to draw first blood.

I'm playing on SAN JOSE. I've been successfully playing on the Sharks - and avoiding them when they lost - these entire playoffs. In fact, I'm a perfect 6-0 (all 4 wins in the Vegas series and 2 in this one) when playing on the Sharks, steering clear of all of their losses. I haven't played against them and I'm not going to here either. The Sharks have been under-achieving in the playoffs for years but I've been saying all along that this very well could be the year that they surprise and finally make a run. They've earned the right to play this game at home and thats going to play a factor. Vegas took them to the brink - and the Sharks still rallied for an improbable Game 7 win. I believe that experience is going to serve them well here. The Avs won 4-3 last game as these teams have been alternating wins/losses. They're just 12-22 (-13.4) on the season after scoring four or more goals though. The Avs are 20-27 on the road, the Sharks are 30-18 at home. Lets go Sharks!

I'm playing on COLUMBUS. The Bruins earned a huge victory in Game 5 and now have a chance to close things out in Game 6. They rarely do anything "easy" though, as seen by the seven game series against Toronto. The Jackets, meanwhile, are a scrappy team that is going to be playing for its season. I think we'll see a Game 7. The only previous time that Columbus was trailing in this series (and these playoffs) was after Game 1. They responded by winning Game 2 and Game 3. They're 19-12 since the beginning of the season, after allowing four or more goals. Including their Game 2 loss, the Bruins are only 2-6 (-5.7) their last eight, when leading in a playoff series. The Jackets have a better home record than Boston's road record. All things considered, I feel that they're offering us excellent value. Don't count the Jackets out yet. 

I'm playing on SAN JOSE. While I won with the under last game, I've also backed the Sharks five times in these playoffs. They won all five times. Here's another spot where I expect them to rise to the occasion with a very important victory. The Avs are just 20-26 on the road. The Sharks, on the other hand, are 29-18 at home. Yes, the Avs won 3-0 in Game 4, at Colorado. However, they're just 4-9 their past 13, when off a shutout win. During that span, the Sharks are an excellent 28-13 (+11.9) after scoring one goal or less. That includes a 7-1 record in that situation this season. The Sharks are hopeful to get Pavelski back for this game. Either way, playing in front of the home fans, look for them to step up and seize control of the series. 

I'm playing on DALLAS. So far, in this series, these teams have alternated wins and losses. The Blues grabbed Game 1. The Stars won Game 2. The Blues won Game 3. I expect that pattern to continue for at least one more game and for a desperate Dallas team to have the advantage for Game 4. The Stars were also trailing the Predators 2-1 after three games. Just like this series, they'd won Game 2 and lost Game 1 and Game 3. They responded with their best game of the playoffs in Game 4, a convincing 5-1 victory. Once again, don't count out the Stars yet. They've got a great goalie, plenty of talent and they've been excellent on the penalty-kill throughout the playoffs. Look for them to dig deep and even up the series. 

I'm playing on SAN JOSE. The Sharks are off an extremely hard fought series against the Knights, rallying from a 3-1 series deficit and taking Game 7 in OT. That may cause some to stay off them here and has helped provide us with a very fair price. However, I believe it gives them a ton of momentum. They've just dug themselves out of a huge hole and are feel that they can take on anyone. While the Vegas series was indeed tough, they've had two full days off and there was no travel, as Game 7 was here in San Jose. That's just about perfect, in my opinion. Note that they're 12-6 on the season, when on a 3-game winning streak. The Avs, on the other hand, haven't played since 4/19. Thats a long gap in between games and its going to be tough early for them to get to the intensity level of the Sharks. Note that you'd be a perfect 7-0 this season, if playing against the Avs when they played with three or more day's rest in between games. The Sharks have beaten the Avs four straight times, most recently a 5-2 win here three weeks ago. They were laying -165 for that one. While the Avs are 19-25 on the road, the Sharks are 28-17 at home. Sharks draw first blood. 

I'm playing on ST. LOUIS. While both these teams were strong in the first round, I expect the Blues to have a solid advantage in Game 1 of this second round series. The Blues were 24-15-2 at home this reg. season. The Stars were 19-18-4 on the road. The Stars are a respectable 27-21 their last 48. However, during the same span, the Blues were a dominant 34-17. The Stars are just 7-10 (-4) when playing with two or more day's rest in between games. On the other hand, the Blues were 6-3 (+3.5) when playing with three or more day's rest. Even after knocking off the Preds, the Stars are still just 12-11 their last 23 against winning teams. Conversely, the Blues are 16-6 (+11.1) their last 22 against teams with a winning record. Expect the Blues to draw first blood.

I'm playing on SAN JOSE. I've successfully played on the Sharks in all three of their wins in this series, while staying off of them in all three of their losses. They battled so hard to keep the series going and now get to play at home with everything on the line. At a pick'em price, I feel that they're offering outstanding value. While the Knights are 20-24 on the road, the Sharks are 27-17 at home. The Sharks dominated the last game here, jumping all over the Knights out of the gate and eventually winning 5-2.  The Sharks still haven't forgotten that it was the Knights who knocked them out of the playoffs last season. On Tuesday, they finally settle the score. 

I’m playing on NASHVILLE. Off b2b losses, we're going to see a determined Nashville team on Saturday afternoon. While the Stars are 20-23 on the road, the Preds are 26-17 at home. The Stars are just 6-10 when playing with two day's rest in between games. They're also only 12-14 (-5.3) off a win by two or more goals. Meanwhile, Nashville is 13-6 (+3.1) off a loss by two or more. Going back further finds the Preds at 39-23 (+8.4) in that situation. During the same span, the Preds are also 32-19 after scoring one goal or less. Expect home ice to prove significant, the Preds bouncing back and regaining control of the series. 

I'm playing on CALGARY. Clearly, anything can happen in the NHL playoffs. Just ask fans of the Tampa Bay Lightning. That said, I don't expect the #1 seed in the West to go quietly. Facing elimination, I expect them to come out desperate from the opening whistle and to play the type of hockey that led to a 27-16 record here. (The Avs are 18-25 on the road.) An overall record which was 17 points better than Colorado. The Flames could easily be tied in this series, despite getting very little production from their top line. Look for Gaudreau and co. to finally get going, the Flames rallying to force a Game 6. 

I'm playing on SJ. The Sharks took Game 1. Since then, the Knights have won three straight. I'm not counting San Jose out though. The Sharks are 26-17 at home, the Knights are 20-23 on the road. While Vegas was dominant in winning 5-0 last game, the Sharks are 6-1 after scoring one goal or less. Going back further finds them at a profitable 27-13 (+10.9) their last 40 in that situation. On the other hand, the Knights are just 14-16 (-9.1) after scoring four or more goals. Needless to say, the Sharks haven't forgotten that the Knights knocked them out last year. They're not going to let it happen on home ice. Not tonight, at least. Expect them to play with desperation right from the opening whistle and look for them to extend the series.

I'm playing on PITTSBURGH. Its going to be hard for the Pens to come all the way back in this series, as they've dug themselves a big hole. That said, they can only take it one game at a time and I expect a huge effort tonight. The Pens remain a healthy 43-23 the past 2+ seasons, after a loss by two or more goals. Crosby has had a forgettable series. He's been one of the best in the game for a long time though and I don't expect him to just go away quietly. Expect a determined Penguin team to be all business, extending the series and avoiding the sweep. 

I'm playing on TAMPA BAY. Its going to be hard for the Lightning to come all the way back in this series, as they've dug themselves a big hole. That said, they can only take it one game at a time and I expect a huge effort tonight. The Lightning, who were absolutely dominant in the regular season, get Kucherov back. The Lightning remain a healthy 4021 the past 2+ seasons, after a loss by two or more goals. During that span, Tampa is also a lucrative 9-2, after losing three straight. Expect a determined Lightning team to be all business, extending the series and avoiding the sweep. 

I'm playing on CAROLINA. The Canes are down 0-2. They've been right in both games though. Saturday's game went to OT. Back home, in front of their loving fans, I expect them to bounce back with a badly needed victory. Since Christmas, the Canes are 16-6 here, including a 4-1 mark their last five. The Caps were only 19-21 (-7.4) after scoring four or more goals this season. While I'm not surprised that the Caps held serve at home, I'm not counting out the Canes, quite yet. 

I'm playing on PITTSBURGH. Down 0-2, we're going to see the best from the Penguins in this one. This is still an elite team, one with plenty of postseason experience. The Isles had the support of their home crowd in the first two games. This is all new to them though and they're going to find the going far more difficult here at Pittsburgh. Don't write off the Pens yet, they'll take this one and be right back in the series. Play Pittsburgh. 

I'm playing on BOSTON. After the Leafs took Game 1, we're going to get a desperate Bruins team tonight. The Bruins are 8-2 (+4.9) the past 10 times that they scored one goal or less in their previous game. Going back further finds them at 26-14 (+8.3) their last 40 in that situation. The Leafs are just 8-15 over the years, when leading in a playoff series. The Bruins remain a dominant 29-13 at home. That includes a 17-8 mark when playing a home game with an O/U line of six or greater. They badly need this game and I expect them to get it.