1* Free Sharp Play on Pirates -105
My money is on the Pirates to cash in a win at home against the Reds. Pittsburgh has to be ecstatic to see someone other than the Nationals, as they could get absolutely nothing going offensively against Washington's staff. Things should be a lot easier right out of the gate, as Cincinnati sends out Anthony Desclafani. He's got a 5.54 ERA in 13 road starts and comes in with a 6.91 ERA and 1.675 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Bet the Pirates -105!
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Jack’s Free Pick Friday: Cincinnati Reds +103
The wrong team is favored in this game Friday. The Pirates are just 8-30 since the All-Star Break and don’t deserve to be favorites with that kind of play. The Reds continue to battle, and I like the fact that they had yesterday off while the Pirates played the Nationals, so they have the rest advantage.
Anthony Desclafini is having a solid season for the Reds, going 8-7 with a 4.40 ERA in 24 starts with 127 K’s in 122 2/3 innings. He should have his way with a light hitting Pirates lineup that has scored a combined 7 runs during a 1-5 stretch while averaging just 1.2 runs per game.
Mitch Keller is among the top prospects for the Pirates, but he has been a huge disappointment in the big leagues thus far. Keller is 1-2 with an 8.86 ERA and 2.016 WHIP in five starts this season. One of those starts came against the Reds on May 27th as he allowed 6 runs in 4 innings of a 1-8 loss. Bet the Reds Friday.
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1* Free MLB Pick on Chicago Cubs -122
I like the value we are getting with the Cubs as a small home favorite against the Nationals. Chicago just swept a 3-game series at home against the Giants, improving to 44-19 at Wrigley on the season. They have won 5 straight overall and should have the edge on the mound in Friday's series opener.
Cubs will send out Jon Lester, who has really bounced back nicely after giving up 10 earned runs in a start against the A's on Aug. 6th. Lester has only given up 3 runs on 9 hits in 11 innings over his last 2 starts. Chicago has won 45 of Lester's 61 home starts and 37 of his 51 starts to open a series.
Nationals turn to Anibal Sanchez, who hasn't been throwing great. in his last 20 innings of work he's given up 13 runs on 29 hits. Cubs should have no problem pushing across runs early. Take Chicago!
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10* FREE MLB PICK (Reds +110)
I'll take my chances here with Cincinnati getting a win at Pittsburgh on Friday. This is more a play against the Pirates than anything. They just can't get their offense going. Pittsburgh just played a 4-game series at home against the Nationals and scored a grand total of 6 runs. They managed to score 1 or fewer in 3 of the 4 and have scored 1 or fewer in 5 of their last 6. Pirates starter Mitch Keller has a 8.86 ERA and 2.016 WHIP in 5 starts. One of those starts was against these Reds earlier this season and he allowed 6 runs on 7 hits in 4 innings of a 8-1 Cincinnati win. Give me the Reds +110!
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MIKE LUNDIN'S RANGERS @ WHITE SOX FREE PICK
The Chicago White Sox claimed the opener of this series 6-1 Thursday night, but the visiting Texas Rangers look primed to bounce back with a win here Friday night.
Texas will have a massive edge on the mound with Lance Lynn (14-8, 3.60 ERA) opposing Dylan Cease (2-6, 5.93 ERA). While Lynn has posted a 2.65 ERA over his last three turns, Cease has gone 1-6 with an ugly 6.00 ERA over his past seven starts.
"He's been leaving pitches out over the plate a little bit more consistently," White Sox manager Rick Renteria said about Cease. "And this is the big leagues. Most of the guys are going to be able to consistently get the barrel to the baseball. It doesn't matter how hard you throw." Hard to argue with that, considering that Cease has served up 10 homers over 44 innings of work on the season.
Rangers are 6-2 in Lynns last 8 starts vs. a team with a losing record and 7-0 in Lynn's last 7 road starts.
Free pick on Texas Rangers.
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