The set-up: These teams split a double-header yesterday, with the Tribe taking an 8-4 win in the first game and the Braves rallying late for an 8-7 win in the second. I like the Indians to bounce back in the rubber match tonight though. So far Atlanta pitcher Max Fried has been exemplary, but I think he runs into a buzz saw here vs. this red hot Indians’ offense. He’ll also have his hands full with vs. his counterpart Shane Bieber.
The pitchers: Fried, who is 2-0 with a 0.92 ERA who has so far thrown three straight strong outings, faces a difficult task throwing opposite Bieber, who is 2-0 with a 1.71 ERA. Bieber most recently gave up one run over six innings in a win over he M’s on Tuesday.
The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but ATL is still only 37-41 (-2.8 units) on the road when the money line in the contest is set in the -125 to +125 range, while Cleveland is 5-1 (+3.2 unit) as a home favorite already this year.
1* FREE PLAY CLEVELAND INDIANS
1* Free MLB Pick on Rangers/Astros Under 11
I think there's a ton of value with the UNDER in Sunday's AL West clash between the Astros and Ranges. I get these are two strong offenses and the ball carries well at Globe Life Park, but it will take quite a hot to at least hit it out to right field, as winds are expected to be blowing in at close to 20 mph.
No doubt the big total here stems from Texas having Shelby Miller on the mound, as he's got a 9.00 ERA and 2.600 WHIP in 3 starts, failing to complete 5 innings in any of those outings. He's due to a strong outing and did give up just 2 runs in an earlier home start against Houston.
It should also help the Astros have Collin McHugh on the mound, as he's capable of completing shutting down this Rangers' offense. McHugh is 3-1 with a 1.96 ERA and 0.826 WHIP over 4 starts and has not allowed more than 2 runs in any of those outings.
UNDER is 10-4 in the Astros last 14 road games, 42-19-2 in their last 63 vs a starter who is struggling and has a WHIP greater than 1.30, 8-2 in their last 10 when their opponent scores 5 or more in their last game and a perfect 8-0 off a loss. Take the UNDER!
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Seattle at LA Angels
Angels over Mariners- I know this is really disgusting coming back with LA as the Mariners have taken them down in the first three games of this four game series while the Angels have now dropped six straight. I usually stay away from games like this but my charts tell me to think of heaven and take the Angels so I will. Take LOS ANGELES!
Jack’s Free Pick Sunday: Detroit Tigers -116
Reynaldo Lopez has gotten off to a disastrous start for the Chicago White Sox. He is 1-2 with an 8.85 ERA and 2.121 WHIP in four starts, allowing 19 earned runs, 7 homers and 41 base runners in 19 1/3 innings. He is clearly having control issues with 14 walks already.
Daniel Norris is excited to make his 2019 debut for the Tigers. He has managed to stick around in their rotation the past few years and still has his best years ahead of him. Norris has owned the White Sox in three career starts against them, going 1-0 with a 1.80 ERA and 0.733 WHIP. His teams have won all three.
The Tigers are 8-2 vs. AL teams with a batting average of .255 or worse this season. Detroit is 5-1 in its last six vs. a team with a losing record. The White Sox are 2-8 in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a losing record. Bet the Tigers Sunday.
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Easter Sunday Round 1 Total of the Year headlines along with MLB Power Pack. Early MLB Totals Play below
The early MLB comp Play is on the over in the Chicago at Detroit game. Rotation numbers 967/968 at 1:05 eastern. In the series here 36 of 50 have gone over and the Tigers are 4 of 4 over vs a starter with a WHIP over 1.30 and all 3 as a home favorite to -150. The Sox have gone over the last 6 on the road vs a winning home team and 5 of 7 vs leftys as well as 10 of 15 in day starts. Look for this one to play over. On Sunday the NBA 1st Rond Total of the Year headlines along with a Power pack in MLB and a game 6 NHL Playoff system Play. For the MLB Comp play. Play the over in the Chicago vs Detroit game. RV- GC Sports
10* FREE MLB PICK (Yankees -1.5, -114)
I'll take my chances here with the Yankees winning by at least 2 runs on Sunday. New York has won 4 of 5 and all 4 wins have come by at least 2 runs. That includes a 6-2 win over KC on Friday and a 9-2 victory on Saturday.
Yankees will send out James Paxton, who is coming off a masterful start at home against the Red Sox, where he allowed just 2 hits and struck out 12 over 8 shutout innings. He now has a 0.66 ERA and 0.585 WHIP in 2 home starts with New York.
As long as the Yankees' bats don't go ice cold, they should have no problem scoring enough to put this game well out of reach. Royals bullpen has to be shot after the last couple of days and today's starter, Jorge Lopez, is 0-2 with a 4.30 ERA and 1.304 WHIP in 4 starts. Give me the Yankees -1.5 (-114).
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Play - Chicago Cubs w/Quintana vs Ray (Game 910).
Edges - Cubs: Quintana 5-1 last six team starts during April; and 21 Ks with 4 BBs last three starts … Diamondbacks: Ray visitor 0-4 career team starts versus Cubs. We recommend a 1* play on the Chicago Cubs. Thank you and good luck as always.
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Dave’s Sunday Free Play:
1* on Los Angeles Angels -116
The Key: The Angels have now dropped 6 straight games, including the first 3 games of this series to the Mariners by a total of 4 runs. They will be hungry for a win to avoid the sweep today. Jaime Barria has fared pretty well against the Mariners as he sports a 4.10 ERA and 1.25 WHIP in 5 lifetime starts against them. The Angels are 12-5 in their last 17 home games, including 5-1 in their last 6 home games against a right-handed starter. Take Los Angeles.
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